Trade, Tariffs, and Inflation | Weekly Market Commentary | November 18, 2024

Trade dynamics have shifted considerably since President Trump’s first administration. Reshoring among U.S. businesses and headwinds to the Chinese economy may limit the inflationary impact from rogue trade policy.

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Weekly Market Commentary

Election Day Takeaways | Weekly Market Commentary | November 11, 2024

The clouds of uncertainty parted last week as former President Donald Trump decisively won the U.S. election, making him the second U.S. president to win non-consecutive terms (Grover Cleveland was the first to do it back in 1892). Investors welcomed the news with renewed risk appetite, bidding the S&P 500 to its 50th record high of the year on Friday. Trump’s proposed economic policies, including deregulation, a likely extension of the 2017 tax cuts, a possible corporate tax rate cut, and proposed tax exemptions on tips, social security, and overtime pay helped underpin buyer enthusiasm. The immediate de-risking of when the election will be decided was another big factor behind the post Election Day rally.

Research

Global Portfolio Strategy | December 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee has upgraded its view of financials from negative to neutral, while the precious metals view goes from negative to positive.

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