Research

Tariffs Ignite a Metals Melt-Up | Weekly Market Commentary | February 18, 2025
Stocks continued to climb the wall of worry last week and shrugged off tariff headlines, inflation volatility, and signs of a slowdown in retail spending.

Key Pillars of the Bull and Bear Cases in 2025 | Weekly Market Commentary | February 10, 2025
Expected continued steady economic growth should enable corporate America to grow profits at or near a double digit pace in 2025.

U.S. Exceptionalism: Is It Still Intact? | Weekly Market Commentary | February 3, 2025
With China’s DeepSeek pressuring investors to take a closer look at the current environment of artificial intelligence (AI) development within the U.S., some are taking a moment to question the accuracy of a much larger idea — American Exceptionalism.

Is the Bond Market Worried About Inflation? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 27, 2025
The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates last September and, to date, the central bank has lowered rates by 1%. But over the same period, long-term Treasury yields are higher by 1% (per the 10-year Treasury yield).

New Year, Same Bull Market? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 13, 2025
As the new year officially gets underway, there’s the usual sense of renewed optimism and excitement over new opportunities.
Recent Posts
Decent Chance Stock Market Bottom Is in but Far From Certain | Weekly Market Commentary | April 14, 2025
This week was one of the most volatile weeks in the history of the stock market. That excludes the historic two-day decline on Thursday and Friday the week before (April 3–4). The S&P 500 dropped 1.6% on Tuesday, April 8, surged 9.5% on Wednesday, April 9 (the third biggest up day since 1950), fell 3.5% on Thursday, April 10, and jumped 1.8% on Friday, April 11. The S&P 500 ended up nearly 6% for the week.
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