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Finding Value Among the Muni Market Malaise | Weekly Market Commentary | May 5, 2025

The municipal bond market faced significant volatility in April, driven by spillovers from a turbulent Treasury market. Treasury yields were pressured higher by rising inflation expectations; the Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance, reduced foreign demand; hedge fund deleveraging, portfolio shifts toward cash, and structural illiquidity.

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Weekly Market Commentary

Earnings Season Recap: Strong Growth, Big Upside, Now What? | Weekly Market Commentary | March 3, 2025

Fourth quarter earnings season is nearly complete, and it has been a good one. S&P 500 companies grew profits more than 18% year over year, according to FactSet data, with mega cap technology and financial companies doing most of the heavy lifting (about seven points of growth came from each). The Magnificent Seven grew earnings by an average of 37% and financials earnings jumped 50%.

Refinancing ZIRP | Weekly Market Commentary | February 24, 2025

The U.S. Treasury market is entering a significant transition period in 2025, facing both structural adjustments and all-too-familiar policy discussions. As the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) shift from a zero interest-rate policy (ZIRP) coincides with a substantial $7.5 trillion refinancing cycle, markets are also preparing for another round of debt ceiling negotiations.

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Research

Client Letter | The Best and Worst of Times | September 7, 2022

When it comes to stock market performance, August was “the best of times, and the worst of times.

Global Portfolio Strategy | August 3, 2022

The STAAC Committee maintains its overweight equities recommendation relative to bonds for August based on the belief that near-term recession fears may be overdone.

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Market Watch

Recent Posts

Tariff Uncertainty Facing Stocks to Start Clearing Soon | Weekly Market Commentary | March 31, 2025

Wednesday is the big day when the Trump administration will provide more clarity on their tariff plans. The latest news has been a mix of encouraging talk about narrow reciprocal tariffs and deep and biting auto (and auto parts) tariffs. It’s tough to lay out a tariff playbook for investors right now, so our advice is to wait and see. Markets and corporate America will need time to digest the information and figure out their next move. As potential dip buyers, we’re not in a big hurry.