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The Fed Resets Expectations for Next Year | Weekly Market Commentary | December 23, 2024

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is moving more cautiously in adjusting policy, and markets might have a hard time resetting expectations. Throughout the latest press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, equity markets declined as investors were befuddled with the large upward revision to 2025 inflation forecasts; despite disappointing inflation projections, the “vibecession” is over as businesses and consumers have become more optimistic.

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Weekly Market Commentary

Sell in May? Maybe Not | Weekly Market Commentary | May 6, 2024

With the Federal Reserve (Fed) pointing to higher-for-longer monetary policy last week (before Friday’s softer jobs report), we also explore how stocks perform during prolonged Fed pause periods.

That Was Quite A Week | Weekly Market Commentary | April 29, 2024

Stocks passed the test, with the S&P 500 up 2.7% for the week, recapturing most of the prior week’s losses despite a mixed GDP report and a double digit decline in shares of social media giant Meta (META) on April 25, after its results. Here we recap the week’s events and check in on sentiment.

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Research

Client Letter | Change May Bring Opportunities | October 7, 2021

Change is disruptive but it also brings opportunities for the next leg higher for this bull market.

Global Portfolio Strategy | September 9, 2021

We see modest gains for stocks over the rest of the year, powered by a strong economic growth outlook and tremendous earnings momentum…

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Market Watch

Recent Posts

It’s Go Time for the Federal Reserve | Weekly Market Commentary | August 26, 2024

A soft landing looks achievable, barring any shocks. Disinflation while preserving labor market strength is only possible with anchored inflation expectations, so an independent and credible central bank is key. One of the best concepts in the speech for investors to understand is the current data shows an evolving macro landscape. The jury is still out on if the Fed can successfully manage the risks to both sides of their dual mandate.